A network-based strategy of price correlations for optimal cryptocurrency portfolios

Research report

TLDR

  • The paper proposes a modified Markowitz portfolio optimization model which utilizes a network based approach to calculating asset correlations via the construction of a minimum spanning tree. The paper’s model, testing, and results are mediocre.

Key learnings

  • Minimum spanning trees (MSTs) are well-suited to analyzing correlations between high-dimensional analytics.

  • The paper’s approach, testing methodology, and results were substandard, it is not worth looking into further.

Methods and outputs

  • This paper proposes an alternative calculation methodology for the inter-asset correlation values by utilizing a graph/network based approach. The correlations are modeled as distances between nodes in the graph.

  • A minimum spanning tree (MST) is constructed to generate the optimal hierarchical structure maximizing the correlation between cryptocurrencies (i.e., minimizing the total distance correlation).

  • The portfolios generated by this modified MPT model were tested on a range of individual cryptocurrencies and indices. Most portfolios comprised of altcoins, and only a few total portfolio constructions, performed markedly better than benchmark models.

Concrete

  • While directly relevant to the work Concrete does, the methodology proposed in this paper are substandard and are akin to an undergraduate applied math/computer science project.

  • Putting aside the simplistic nature of this particular paper, applying a graph based approach has the potential to provide non-trivial relationships between difficult-to-parse time series features.

Further reading

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